Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.149981 0.177279 0.207761 0.244269 0.286750 0.334569 0.392423
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.105734 0.140373 0.183353 0.240371 0.313777 0.404828 0.526030
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.082233 0.119688 0.170174 0.242693 0.343597 0.478335 0.671061
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.065150 0.102513 0.156517 0.239419 0.362433 0.536938 0.801597
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.055331 0.093141 0.151173 0.245465 0.393219 0.613767 0.965042
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046282 0.082896 0.142271 0.243859 0.411081 0.672360 1.107096
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.038473 0.073040 0.132047 0.237962 0.420407 0.717669 1.232397
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032076 0.064345 0.122160 0.230707 0.425770 0.756176 1.349737
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.028630 0.060370 0.119772 0.235884 0.452570 0.832474 1.537523
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025492 0.056385 0.116662 0.239088 0.475866 0.904698 1.725216
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022571 0.052293 0.112665 0.239882 0.494479 0.970063 1.906784
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020312 0.049180 0.110096 0.242996 0.517646 1.045749 2.114400
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018652 0.047165 0.109628 0.250613 0.551224 1.145703 2.380522
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016083 0.042591 0.103011 0.244365 0.555830 1.190137 2.544103
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014460 0.039976 0.100312 0.246223 0.577587 1.270827 2.787889
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012715 0.036713 0.095595 0.242795 0.587315 1.327623 2.988167
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011750 0.035292 0.095026 0.248896 0.618927 1.433356 3.300914
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010487 0.032815 0.091462 0.247263 0.632499 1.501427 3.539267
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009181 0.029949 0.086448 0.241287 0.635001 1.545148 3.728195
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007990 0.027170 0.081204 0.233937 0.633177 1.578717 3.897330
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007434 0.026218 0.080774 0.239181 0.663295 1.688980 4.252486
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006859 0.025086 0.079664 0.242428 0.688682 1.790473 4.596432
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006261 0.023757 0.077772 0.243232 0.707774 1.878601 4.916600